Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.31) 1.01 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 25.8% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 8.0% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantosFortaleza EC
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack50%25%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
Played141529161329
Wins36%20%28%38%8%24%
Draws29%27%28%13%31%21%
Loses36%53%45%50%62%55%

Form: Santos: LDLWLLLDLWLWWLLDWWLLDDWDDLWLD • Fortaleza EC: WDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLLLLWLWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Santos Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
GF total15153018927
GF avg1.11.01.01.10.70.9
GA total172542202444
GA avg1.21.71.41.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantosFortaleza EC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%79%59%72%
1.531%45%21%45%
2.510%10%7%17%
3.50%3%3%10%
4.50%3%3%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantosFortaleza EC
HATHAT
Clean sheets516628
Failed to score56117512

Penalties

MetricSantosFortaleza EC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricSantosFortaleza EC
Wins21
Draws22
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-35-01-2
Biggest losses0-63-00-55-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against6355

Model comparison

MetricSantosFortaleza EC
Form45%55%
Att67%33%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total45.7%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : Santos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.84 @ 1xBet
Away5.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos = 1.52 (league 1.31), Fortaleza EC = 1.01 (league 0.83)

Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 8.0% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.1% 12.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.7% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 25.1%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1