Serie A — Brazil
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 21:00 • Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.33) 1.06 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 28.4% 32.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.5%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Botafogo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirassol 0 10.3% 10.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.2% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMirassolBotafogo
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack83%50%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mirassol Botafogo
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins67%33%50%47%40%43%
Draws33%33%33%33%20%27%
Loses0%33%17%20%40%30%

Form: Mirassol: LDDWDDLWDWWDWWDWLDWWWDWLDLWWWW • Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDLWLLWD

League goals

Metric Mirassol Botafogo
HATHAT
GF total341852261541
GF avg2.31.21.71.71.01.4
GA total131831181028
GA avg0.91.21.01.20.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMirassolBotafogo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%73%60%60%
1.550%23%43%27%
2.523%7%20%7%
3.57%0%10%0%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMirassolBotafogo
HATHAT
Clean sheets4485712
Failed to score0334812

Penalties

MetricMirassolBotafogo
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricMirassolBotafogo
Wins33
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-24-00-5
Biggest losses—3-00-32-0
Goals For5345
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricMirassolBotafogo
Form63%37%
Att63%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total56.0%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Mirassol or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mirassol = 1.21 (league 1.33), Botafogo = 1.06 (league 0.85)

Botafogo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mirassol 0 10.3% 10.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.5% 13.2% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.6% 8.0% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 32.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1