Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.30) 0.81 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 26.0% 20.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Internacional 0 9.8% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricInternacionalAtletico-MG
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack50%50%
Defense50%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Internacional Atletico-MG
HATHAT
Played151530141529
Wins47%13%30%50%13%31%
Draws20%33%27%43%20%31%
Loses33%53%43%7%67%38%

Form: Internacional: DWDLDWLLDDLLWWWDLWLLWLLDDWLWLL • Atletico-MG: LDDLWDWWDDWWLLLWDLLLDLWDLWDLW

League goals

Metric Internacional Atletico-MG
HATHAT
GF total21143518927
GF avg1.40.91.21.30.60.9
GA total162743112132
GA avg1.11.81.40.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineInternacionalAtletico-MG
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%80%62%66%
1.530%33%24%34%
2.510%20%7%10%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricInternacionalAtletico-MG
HATHAT
Clean sheets5167310
Failed to score2573811

Penalties

MetricInternacionalAtletico-MG
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total81

Streaks

MetricInternacionalAtletico-MG
Wins32
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-10-1
Biggest losses1-34-01-33-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricInternacionalAtletico-MG
Form46%54%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total44.7%55.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico-MG

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ 1xBet
Away3.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Internacional = 1.51 (league 1.30), Atletico-MG = 0.81 (league 0.82)

Atletico-MG
0 1 2 3 4 5
Internacional 0 9.8% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 20.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1