Serie A — Brazil
Wed, Nov 5 2025 • 22:30 • Estádio Nilton Santos
Second Half
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.31) 2.30 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 19.7% 43.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.3%
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 1
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vasco DA Gama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 1.4% 3.3% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.8% 6.4% 7.3% 5.6% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.1% 4.7% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogoVasco DA Gama
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack44%100%
Defense22%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo Vasco DA Gama
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%38%42%44%33%39%
Draws33%25%29%25%13%19%
Loses20%38%29%31%53%42%

Form: Botafogo: DWLDLWLWDWWWDWDLWLWWLDWDLWLLWDD • Vasco DA Gama: WLWLDLLLWLLWLDDLDWLLWDDWWLWWWWL

League goals

Metric Botafogo Vasco DA Gama
HATHAT
GF total261541252449
GF avg1.70.91.31.61.61.6
GA total181028202343
GA avg1.20.60.91.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogoVasco DA Gama
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%58%71%77%
1.542%26%48%45%
2.519%6%26%16%
3.510%0%6%0%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogoVasco DA Gama
HATHAT
Clean sheets5813437
Failed to score4913549

Penalties

MetricBotafogoVasco DA Gama
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricBotafogoVasco DA Gama
Wins34
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-53-00-6
Biggest losses0-32-00-23-0
Goals For4546
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricBotafogoVasco DA Gama
Form29%71%
Att27%73%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h62%38%
Goals70%30%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : Botafogo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away4.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo = 1.95 (league 1.31), Vasco DA Gama = 2.30 (league 0.83)

Vasco DA Gama
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo 0 1.4% 3.3% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
1 2.8% 6.4% 7.3% 5.6% 3.2% 1.5%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.1% 4.7% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
4 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 43.7%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1