Serie A — Brazil
Thu, Nov 6 2025 • 00:30 • Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.33) 1.49 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.2% 26.3% 56.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.9%
0 - 2
12.6%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 11.4% 16.9% 12.6% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSao PauloFlamengo
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack60%90%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sao Paulo Flamengo
HATHAT
Played151631161430
Wins53%25%39%69%57%63%
Draws20%31%26%31%14%23%
Loses27%44%35%0%29%13%

Form: Sao Paulo: DDDDWDDLWLLLLDWWWWWDWLWLLWLLLWW • Flamengo: DWWWDWLWDWWWLWWWDWWWDWDWDLWWLW

League goals

Metric Sao Paulo Flamengo
HATHAT
GF total201535392059
GF avg1.30.91.12.41.42.0
GA total13203361016
GA avg0.91.31.10.40.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSao PauloFlamengo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%80%47%
1.545%32%53%7%
2.53%10%27%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSao PauloFlamengo
HATHAT
Clean sheets741111516
Failed to score4711246

Penalties

MetricSao PauloFlamengo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricSao PauloFlamengo
Wins53
Draws41
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-28-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-0—2-1
Goals For3283
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricSao PauloFlamengo
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Flamengo

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.90 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away1.99 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sao Paulo = 0.69 (league 1.33), Flamengo = 1.49 (league 0.85)

Flamengo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 11.4% 16.9% 12.6% 6.2% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.6% 8.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.7% 4.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 56.1%

Vtot 24 , Vtod1