Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio do Maracanã
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.17 (league 1.29) 0.44 (league 0.82)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.1% 8.0% 2.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.4%
2 - 0
13.6%
4 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Santos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengoSantos
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack65%35%
Defense71%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo Santos
HATHAT
Played161531151631
Wins69%53%61%33%19%26%
Draws31%20%26%33%25%29%
Loses0%27%13%33%56%45%

Form: Flamengo: DWWWDWLWDWWWLWWWDWWWDWDWDLWWLWD • Santos: LDLWLLLDLWLWWLLDWWLLDDWDDLWLDDL

League goals

Metric Flamengo Santos
HATHAT
GF total392261161531
GF avg2.41.52.01.10.91.0
GA total61218182745
GA avg0.40.80.61.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengoSantos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%48%61%81%
1.555%10%29%45%
2.526%0%10%10%
3.513%0%0%3%
4.510%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengoSantos
HATHAT
Clean sheets11516516
Failed to score2465712

Penalties

MetricFlamengoSantos
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricFlamengoSantos
Wins32
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-00-33-12-3
Biggest losses—2-10-63-0
Goals For8333
Goals Against2263

Model comparison

MetricFlamengoSantos
Form67%33%
Att65%35%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Winner : Flamengo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.15 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ 188Bet
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flamengo = 3.17 (league 1.29), Santos = 0.44 (league 0.82)

Santos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.4% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.4% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.1% · Draw 8.0% · Away win 2.7%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1