Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 00:00 • Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.33) 1.06 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.5% 23.2% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
RB Bragantino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.3% 11.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSao PauloRB Bragantino
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack33%22%
Defense61%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sao Paulo RB Bragantino
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins50%25%38%44%25%34%
Draws25%31%28%25%13%19%
Loses25%44%34%31%63%47%

Form: Sao Paulo: DDDDWDDLWLLLLDWWWWWDWLWLLWLLLWWD • RB Bragantino: DLWWWWWDLWWLWDLLLLLLWLDLDDWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Sao Paulo RB Bragantino
HATHAT
GF total221537211637
GF avg1.40.91.21.31.01.2
GA total152035232750
GA avg0.91.31.11.41.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSao PauloRB Bragantino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%66%84%78%
1.547%34%25%50%
2.53%9%3%19%
3.50%0%3%6%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSao PauloRB Bragantino
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411527
Failed to score4711235

Penalties

MetricSao PauloRB Bragantino
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricSao PauloRB Bragantino
Wins55
Draws42
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-20-2
Biggest losses1-33-00-35-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricSao PauloRB Bragantino
Form70%30%
Att60%40%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sao Paulo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 188Bet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sao Paulo = 1.79 (league 1.33), RB Bragantino = 1.06 (league 0.85)

RB Bragantino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sao Paulo 0 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.3% 11.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.5% 5.9% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.5% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 22.3%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1