Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.47 (league 1.31) 1.06 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.3% 17.3% 14.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.0%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fluminense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 2.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.2% 7.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.6% 4.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruzeiroFluminense
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack35%18%
Defense88%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruzeiro Fluminense
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins75%38%56%75%19%47%
Draws13%44%28%6%25%16%
Loses13%19%16%19%56%38%

Form: Cruzeiro: WLDWLWWWDWWDWWWDLWLDWWWWLDDDWDWW • Fluminense: LWWWDLWLDWWLLLLWDWLDLWWDWLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Cruzeiro Fluminense
HATHAT
GF total301646211738
GF avg1.91.01.41.31.11.2
GA total121022102737
GA avg0.80.60.70.61.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruzeiroFluminense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%53%75%63%
1.544%13%38%38%
2.516%3%6%13%
3.59%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruzeiroFluminense
HATHAT
Clean sheets69158412
Failed to score178268

Penalties

MetricCruzeiroFluminense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCruzeiroFluminense
Wins43
Draws31
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-00-24-2
Goals For4433
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricCruzeiroFluminense
Form55%45%
Att67%33%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cruzeiro or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away4.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruzeiro = 2.47 (league 1.31), Fluminense = 1.06 (league 0.83)

Fluminense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruzeiro 0 2.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.2% 7.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.5% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.6% 4.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.3% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1