Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 23:30 • Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.29) 1.44 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 24.4% 35.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza EC 0 5.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.8% 11.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza ECGremio
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack17%28%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza EC Gremio
HATHAT
Played161531161632
Wins38%7%23%44%19%31%
Draws13%40%26%31%25%28%
Loses50%53%52%25%56%41%

Form: Fortaleza EC: WDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLLLLWLWLWLLWDD • Gremio: WLLLDDWDLWWDLDLWLLWDDLWDWDLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Fortaleza EC Gremio
HATHAT
GF total181129181533
GF avg1.10.70.91.10.91.0
GA total202646132841
GA avg1.31.71.50.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza ECGremio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%74%66%84%
1.519%42%25%25%
2.56%16%13%9%
3.53%10%0%9%
4.53%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza ECGremio
HATHAT
Clean sheets628415
Failed to score75125611

Penalties

MetricFortaleza ECGremio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total28

Streaks

MetricFortaleza ECGremio
Wins12
Draws22
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-55-00-24-0
Goals For5233
Goals Against5524

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza ECGremio
Form45%55%
Att38%63%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total45.8%54.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gremio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away3.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.78 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza EC = 1.54 (league 1.29), Gremio = 1.44 (league 0.81)

Gremio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza EC 0 5.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 7.8% 11.3% 8.1% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.1% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 35.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod2