Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 05:30 •
Hirakata City Stadium
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.38)
0.80 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.8% | 22.3% | 15.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Maruyasu Okazaki | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TIAMO Hirakata | 0 | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | TIAMO Hirakata | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 57% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | TIAMO Hirakata | Maruyasu Okazaki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 27% | 45% | 27% | 36% | 32% |
| Draws | 9% | 27% | 18% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
| Loses | 27% | 45% | 36% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
Form: TIAMO Hirakata: WDLWWLLWLLWDDWWDWLWLWL • Maruyasu Okazaki: LLLLWLWDDDLWDLLWLWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | TIAMO Hirakata | Maruyasu Okazaki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 18 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 20 | 32 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | TIAMO Hirakata | Maruyasu Okazaki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 77% | 59% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 45% | 27% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 18% | 5% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | TIAMO Hirakata | Maruyasu Okazaki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | TIAMO Hirakata | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | TIAMO Hirakata | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | TIAMO Hirakata | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.5% |
Advice: Double chance : TIAMO Hirakata or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): TIAMO Hirakata = 1.83 (league 1.38), Maruyasu Okazaki = 0.80 (league 1.24)
| Maruyasu Okazaki | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TIAMO Hirakata | 0 | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 15.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1