Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 04:00 •
Ryuhoku Stadium
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.36)
1.02 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.9% | 34.0% | 45.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 0
20.1%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Verspah Oita | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 0 | 20.1% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Verspah Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 53% | 47% |
| Defense | 73% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Verspah Oita | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 27% | 42% | 35% | 58% | 27% | 43% |
| Draws | 27% | 17% | 22% | 8% | 55% | 30% |
| Loses | 45% | 42% | 43% | 33% | 18% | 26% |
Form: Maruyasu Okazaki: LLLLWLWDDDLWDLLWLWWWDLW • Verspah Oita: WDWLWWWDLWDWDLDWWDLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Verspah Oita | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maruyasu Okazaki | Verspah Oita | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 70% | 65% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 39% | 52% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 13% | 13% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Verspah Oita | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Verspah Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Verspah Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Verspah Oita |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Verspah Oita
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Maruyasu Okazaki = 0.59 (league 1.36), Verspah Oita = 1.02 (league 1.08)
| Verspah Oita | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 0 | 20.1% | 20.4% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 45.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1