Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 04:00 •
Sport Ueno-Park Stadium
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.38)
0.58 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9% | 42.2% | 27.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.5%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Maruyasu Okazaki | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Porvenir Asuka | 0 | 30.5% | 17.6% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Porvenir Asuka | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 7% |
| Attack | 38% | 15% |
| Defense | 8% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Porvenir Asuka | Maruyasu Okazaki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 21% | 0% | 11% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 29% | 39% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Loses | 29% | 71% | 50% | 57% | 43% | 50% |
Form: Porvenir Asuka: LLLDLDLWLLLLWDDDDDDWLDDLLLDL • Maruyasu Okazaki: LLLLWLWDDDLWDLLWLWWWDLWLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Porvenir Asuka | Maruyasu Okazaki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 11 | 21 | 32 | 16 | 19 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Porvenir Asuka | Maruyasu Okazaki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 64% | 57% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 11% | 32% | 25% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 4% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Porvenir Asuka | Maruyasu Okazaki | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Porvenir Asuka | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Porvenir Asuka | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Porvenir Asuka | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 37% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Maruyasu Okazaki
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Porvenir Asuka = 0.61 (league 1.38), Maruyasu Okazaki = 0.58 (league 1.24)
| Maruyasu Okazaki | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Porvenir Asuka | 0 | 30.5% | 17.6% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 27.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
