Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 04:00 •
Ryuhoku Stadium
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.38)
0.80 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.1% | 34.7% | 31.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
19.3%
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Honda Lock | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 0 | 19.3% | 15.4% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Honda Lock |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 27% |
| Attack | 13% | 25% |
| Defense | 56% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Honda Lock | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 21% | 36% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 21% | 21% | 21% | 33% | 14% | 24% |
| Loses | 57% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 57% | 45% |
Form: Maruyasu Okazaki: LLLLWLWDDDLWDLLWLWWWDLWLLLLD • Honda Lock: LDLDLLLWWWLWDDWLLWWLLWDDLDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Honda Lock | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 38 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 16 | 19 | 35 | 20 | 18 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maruyasu Okazaki | Honda Lock | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 75% | 69% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 39% | 28% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 11% | 17% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 10% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Honda Lock | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Honda Lock |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Honda Lock |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maruyasu Okazaki | Honda Lock |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Maruyasu Okazaki or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Maruyasu Okazaki = 0.85 (league 1.38), Honda Lock = 0.80 (league 1.24)
| Honda Lock | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maruyasu Okazaki | 0 | 19.3% | 15.4% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 16.4% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 31.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1