Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 13:00 • Ortalyq stadıon
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.50) 0.74 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.0% 25.7% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Zhenys
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kairat Almaty 0 10.3% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 11.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKairat AlmatyZhenys
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack47%41%
Defense76%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kairat Almaty Zhenys
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins70%67%68%36%27%32%
Draws10%25%18%36%55%45%
Loses20%8%14%27%18%23%

Form: Kairat Almaty: DWWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDWWLWW • Zhenys: DDDDLDLLDLDWWDWWWDWDWL

League goals

Metric Kairat Almaty Zhenys
HATHAT
GF total212243131427
GF avg2.11.82.01.21.31.2
GA total7101791221
GA avg0.70.80.80.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKairat AlmatyZhenys
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%59%68%59%
1.555%14%45%27%
2.527%5%9%5%
3.523%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKairat AlmatyZhenys
HATHAT
Clean sheets639549
Failed to score022527

Penalties

MetricKairat AlmatyZhenys
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%1 | 33.33%
Total53

Streaks

MetricKairat AlmatyZhenys
Wins43
Draws14
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-10-2
Biggest losses2-31-01-24-2
Goals For4432
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricKairat AlmatyZhenys
Form60%40%
Att53%47%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h88%13%
Goals71%29%
Total66.0%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Kairat Almaty or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.50 @ Pinnacle
Away9.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kairat Almaty = 1.54 (league 1.50), Zhenys = 0.74 (league 1.23)

Zhenys
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kairat Almaty 0 10.3% 7.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.8% 11.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.0% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.2% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 17.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1