Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 • Almaty Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.60 (league 1.52) 0.56 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.3% 13.0% 5.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Zhetysu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kairat Almaty 0 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 6.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKairat AlmatyZhetysu
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack47%35%
Defense76%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kairat Almaty Zhetysu
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins73%67%70%27%17%22%
Draws9%25%17%45%33%39%
Loses18%8%13%27%50%39%

Form: Kairat Almaty: DWWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDWWLWWW • Zhetysu: DDLDLLDLDWDDLWLLWLWWDLD

League goals

Metric Kairat Almaty Zhetysu
HATHAT
GF total24224681220
GF avg2.21.82.00.71.00.9
GA total81018122133
GA avg0.70.80.81.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKairat AlmatyZhetysu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%61%61%74%
1.557%13%26%43%
2.530%4%0%26%
3.522%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKairat AlmatyZhetysu
HATHAT
Clean sheets639516
Failed to score022549

Penalties

MetricKairat AlmatyZhetysu
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricKairat AlmatyZhetysu
Wins42
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-11-2
Biggest losses2-31-00-33-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricKairat AlmatyZhetysu
Form60%40%
Att57%43%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Winner : Kairat Almaty

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Bet365
Draw7.04 @ Pinnacle
Away18.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kairat Almaty = 2.60 (league 1.52), Zhetysu = 0.56 (league 1.26)

Zhetysu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kairat Almaty 0 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 6.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.4% 8.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.5% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.3% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 5.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1