Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 10:00 • Karasai Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.50) 1.90 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.7% 20.6% 67.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 2
15.0%
0 - 3
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Kairat Almaty
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kyzyl-Zhar 0 8.4% 15.8% 15.0% 9.5% 4.5% 1.7%
1 4.9% 9.3% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0%
2 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKyzyl-ZharKairat Almaty
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack38%92%
Defense54%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kyzyl-Zhar Kairat Almaty
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%17%21%75%67%71%
Draws42%33%38%8%25%17%
Loses33%50%42%17%8%13%

Form: Kyzyl-Zhar: DLDLWWLWDDLDLDDWLLLDDLWL • Kairat Almaty: DWWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Kyzyl-Zhar Kairat Almaty
HATHAT
GF total131124292251
GF avg1.10.91.02.41.82.1
GA total15163181018
GA avg1.31.31.30.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKyzyl-ZharKairat Almaty
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%88%92%58%
1.533%29%58%13%
2.58%13%33%4%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKyzyl-ZharKairat Almaty
HATHAT
Clean sheets1237310
Failed to score4610022

Penalties

MetricKyzyl-ZharKairat Almaty
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricKyzyl-ZharKairat Almaty
Wins24
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-22-02-31-0
Goals For3354
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricKyzyl-ZharKairat Almaty
Form29%71%
Att29%71%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total28.2%71.8%

Advice: Winner : Kairat Almaty

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.60 @ Dafabet
Draw4.50 @ Dafabet
Away1.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.74 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kyzyl-Zhar = 0.59 (league 1.50), Kairat Almaty = 1.90 (league 1.23)

Kairat Almaty
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kyzyl-Zhar 0 8.4% 15.8% 15.0% 9.5% 4.5% 1.7%
1 4.9% 9.3% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0%
2 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.7% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 67.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1