Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 10:00 • Almaty Central Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.52) 0.94 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 28.6% 27.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Astana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kairat Almaty 0 11.0% 10.4% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKairat AlmatyFC Astana
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack37%60%
Defense97%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.218 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kairat Almaty FC Astana
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins75%69%72%69%67%68%
Draws8%23%16%23%17%20%
Loses17%8%12%8%17%12%

Form: Kairat Almaty: DWWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDWWLWWWWW • FC Astana: DWWWDWWDLWWWWWDWLWWLWDWWW

League goals

Metric Kairat Almaty FC Astana
HATHAT
GF total292352452065
GF avg2.41.82.13.51.72.6
GA total8101820929
GA avg0.70.80.71.50.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKairat AlmatyFC Astana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%56%96%64%
1.556%12%76%32%
2.532%4%40%20%
3.524%0%24%0%
4.54%0%16%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKairat AlmatyFC Astana
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411369
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricKairat AlmatyFC Astana
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%11 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total511

Streaks

MetricKairat AlmatyFC Astana
Wins45
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-47-00-2
Biggest losses2-31-01-33-2
Goals For5473
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricKairat AlmatyFC Astana
Form54%46%
Att38%62%
Def91%9%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Kairat Almaty or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ 1xBet
Away3.29 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kairat Almaty = 1.26 (league 1.52), FC Astana = 0.94 (league 1.26)

FC Astana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kairat Almaty 0 11.0% 10.4% 4.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.8% 8.3% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1