Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 10:00 • Stadion Spartak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.52) 0.63 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.2% 19.5% 10.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Atyrau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Yelimay Semey 0 7.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.3% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYelimay SemeyAtyrau
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack53%23%
Defense70%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Yelimay Semey Atyrau
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins67%38%52%15%17%16%
Draws0%46%24%31%25%28%
Loses33%15%24%54%58%56%

Form: Yelimay Semey: LWDWWWLLWDLDWWLDLWDWWWDWW • Atyrau: WLLLLLLLLLDLLLLDLWDDDDWWD

League goals

Metric Yelimay Semey Atyrau
HATHAT
GF total202444101020
GF avg1.71.81.80.80.80.8
GA total121729212142
GA avg1.01.31.21.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYelimay SemeyAtyrau
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%72%56%80%
1.552%32%12%52%
2.524%12%4%16%
3.54%0%4%16%
4.54%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYelimay SemeyAtyrau
HATHAT
Clean sheets527235
Failed to score2134711

Penalties

MetricYelimay SemeyAtyrau
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricYelimay SemeyAtyrau
Wins32
Draws14
Losses29

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-62-11-5
Biggest losses0-22-10-45-0
Goals For3625
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricYelimay SemeyAtyrau
Form59%41%
Att70%30%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h13%88%
Goals25%75%
Total43.2%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : Yelimay Semey or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away5.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Yelimay Semey = 2.01 (league 1.52), Atyrau = 0.63 (league 1.26)

Atyrau
0 1 2 3 4 5
Yelimay Semey 0 7.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.3% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.6% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.2% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 10.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1