Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 10:00 • Changwon Civil Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.22) 1.65 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 23.7% 41.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Daejeon Korail
0 1 2 3 4 5
Changwon City 0 4.4% 7.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChangwon CityDaejeon Korail
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack75%75%
Defense38%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Changwon City Daejeon Korail
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%40%40%50%50%50%
Draws20%20%20%30%10%20%
Loses40%40%40%20%40%30%

Form: Changwon City: WLLDWWDLLLWDWLDLLWWW • Daejeon Korail: WWLDWWDWWLLWWDWLDLWL

League goals

Metric Changwon City Daejeon Korail
HATHAT
GF total10919142236
GF avg1.00.91.01.42.21.8
GA total981761824
GA avg0.90.80.90.61.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChangwon CityDaejeon Korail
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%65%85%60%
1.530%20%60%35%
2.55%0%20%20%
3.50%0%5%5%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChangwon CityDaejeon Korail
HATHAT
Clean sheets347628
Failed to score448213

Penalties

MetricChangwon CityDaejeon Korail
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChangwon CityDaejeon Korail
Wins22
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-02-6
Biggest losses1-22-02-33-0
Goals For3236
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricChangwon CityDaejeon Korail
Form69%31%
Att50%50%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h15%85%
Goals39%61%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Changwon City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Superbet
Away2.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.80 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Changwon City = 1.47 (league 1.22), Daejeon Korail = 1.65 (league 1.20)

Daejeon Korail
0 1 2 3 4 5
Changwon City 0 4.4% 7.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 41.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1