Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 08:00 • Paju Public Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.23) 1.00 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.1% 34.4% 44.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
0 - 1
20.5%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Changwon City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paju Citizen 0 20.5% 20.5% 10.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 12.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaju CitizenChangwon City
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack43%50%
Defense64%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paju Citizen Changwon City
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins25%36%30%42%36%39%
Draws17%27%22%25%18%22%
Loses58%36%48%33%45%39%

Form: Paju Citizen: LLWDLLDDLWWLWLLLDWLLWDW • Changwon City: WLLDWWDLLLWDWLDLLWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Paju Citizen Changwon City
HATHAT
GF total101121121022
GF avg0.81.00.91.00.91.0
GA total161329101020
GA avg1.31.21.30.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaju CitizenChangwon City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%65%61%65%
1.522%35%30%22%
2.59%17%4%0%
3.54%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaju CitizenChangwon City
HATHAT
Clean sheets448448
Failed to score7310549

Penalties

MetricPaju CitizenChangwon City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPaju CitizenChangwon City
Wins23
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-43-01-22-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricPaju CitizenChangwon City
Form41%59%
Att46%54%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Changwon City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.68 @ Dafabet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paju Citizen = 0.59 (league 1.23), Changwon City = 1.00 (league 1.17)

Changwon City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paju Citizen 0 20.5% 20.5% 10.2% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 12.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.1% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 44.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1