Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 05:00 • Gyeongju Civic Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.23) 1.00 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 32.0% 37.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.3%
0 - 1
15.3%
1 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Changwon City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gyeongju HNP 0 15.3% 15.3% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGyeongju HNPChangwon City
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack44%78%
Defense67%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gyeongju HNP Changwon City
HATHAT
Played101424121325
Wins50%43%46%42%38%40%
Draws30%29%29%25%23%24%
Loses20%29%25%33%38%36%

Form: Gyeongju HNP: LWWWWLDLLDDWLWWLWWWDDDDW • Changwon City: WLLDWWDLLLWDWLDLLWWWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Gyeongju HNP Changwon City
HATHAT
GF total121931121426
GF avg1.21.41.31.01.11.0
GA total111526101222
GA avg1.11.11.10.80.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGyeongju HNPChangwon City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%63%60%64%
1.542%25%32%24%
2.521%17%8%0%
3.54%4%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGyeongju HNPChangwon City
HATHAT
Clean sheets459459
Failed to score3695510

Penalties

MetricGyeongju HNPChangwon City
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricGyeongju HNPChangwon City
Wins43
Draws41
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-12-4
Biggest losses0-42-01-22-0
Goals For2434
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricGyeongju HNPChangwon City
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h75%25%
Goals100%0%
Total54.0%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gyeongju HNP or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ William Hill
Away3.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.66 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gyeongju HNP = 0.88 (league 1.23), Changwon City = 1.00 (league 1.21)

Changwon City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gyeongju HNP 0 15.3% 15.3% 7.6% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.4% 13.4% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1