Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 05:00 •
Busan Gudeok Stadium
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.23)
0.82 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.0% | 31.5% | 27.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Paju Citizen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Busan Transportation | 0 | 15.1% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Busan Transportation | Paju Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 73% |
| Attack | 28% | 39% |
| Defense | 67% | 94% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Busan Transportation | Paju Citizen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 54% | 50% | 52% | 23% | 42% | 32% |
| Draws | 15% | 0% | 8% | 23% | 25% | 24% |
| Loses | 31% | 50% | 40% | 54% | 33% | 44% |
Form: Busan Transportation: DLWLWDWWLLWWLWWWWWLLWWLLL • Paju Citizen: LLWDLLDDLWWLWLLLDWLLWDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Busan Transportation | Paju Citizen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 10 | 13 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Busan Transportation | Paju Citizen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 76% | 56% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 24% | 24% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 8% | 8% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Busan Transportation | Paju Citizen | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Busan Transportation | Paju Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Busan Transportation | Paju Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Busan Transportation | Paju Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paju Citizen and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Busan Transportation = 1.08 (league 1.23), Paju Citizen = 0.82 (league 1.21)
| Paju Citizen | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Busan Transportation | 0 | 15.1% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 27.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1