K3 League
— South-Korea
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 05:00 •
Paju Public Stadium
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.22)
0.70 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 29.8% | 20.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.5%
| Mokpo City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paju Citizen | 0 | 14.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paju Citizen | Mokpo City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 40% |
| Attack | 58% | 33% |
| Defense | 92% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paju Citizen | Mokpo City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 23% | 46% | 35% | 15% | 8% | 12% |
| Draws | 23% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Loses | 54% | 31% | 42% | 69% | 77% | 73% |
Form: Paju Citizen: LLWDLLDDLWWLWLLLDWLLWDWDWW • Mokpo City: LLLLLDLDLWLLLLDLLLLDLLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Paju Citizen | Mokpo City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paju Citizen | Mokpo City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 62% | 50% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 31% | 12% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 4% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paju Citizen | Mokpo City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paju Citizen | Mokpo City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paju Citizen | Mokpo City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paju Citizen | Mokpo City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Paju Citizen or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paju Citizen = 1.24 (league 1.22), Mokpo City = 0.70 (league 1.20)
| Mokpo City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paju Citizen | 0 | 14.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.8% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 20.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1