Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 05:00 • Changwon Football Center
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.23) 0.95 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 29.6% 29.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Busan Transportation
0 1 2 3 4 5
Changwon City 0 12.0% 11.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChangwon CityBusan Transportation
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack73%55%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Changwon City Busan Transportation
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%36%41%50%54%52%
Draws23%29%26%14%0%7%
Loses31%36%33%36%46%41%

Form: Changwon City: WLLDWWDLLLWDWLDLLWWWDLWDWDW • Busan Transportation: DLWLWDWWLLWWLWWWWWLLWWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Changwon City Busan Transportation
HATHAT
GF total141428171835
GF avg1.11.01.01.21.41.3
GA total111223141731
GA avg0.80.90.91.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChangwon CityBusan Transportation
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%63%74%74%
1.533%22%41%26%
2.57%0%15%7%
3.54%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChangwon CityBusan Transportation
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610257
Failed to score5611437

Penalties

MetricChangwon CityBusan Transportation
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChangwon CityBusan Transportation
Wins35
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-42-00-3
Biggest losses1-22-01-25-1
Goals For3423
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricChangwon CityBusan Transportation
Form79%21%
Att57%43%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h40%60%
Goals46%54%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Changwon City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.45 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Changwon City = 1.17 (league 1.23), Busan Transportation = 0.95 (league 1.17)

Busan Transportation
0 1 2 3 4 5
Changwon City 0 12.0% 11.5% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.0% 13.4% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 29.8%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1