Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio Soinca Bata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.64) 0.98 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 27.9% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Provincial Ovalle
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. Melipilla 0 10.1% 9.9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.0% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricD. MelipillaProvincial Ovalle
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack58%37%
Defense89%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric D. Melipilla Provincial Ovalle
HATHAT
Played88169817
Wins75%38%56%56%50%53%
Draws13%0%6%33%25%29%
Loses13%63%38%11%25%18%

Form: D. Melipilla: LWLLWDLLLWWWWWWW • Provincial Ovalle: DDWWWLWLDDDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric D. Melipilla Provincial Ovalle
HATHAT
GF total19928101020
GF avg2.41.11.81.11.31.2
GA total714214711
GA avg0.91.81.30.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineD. MelipillaProvincial Ovalle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%69%71%47%
1.550%44%41%18%
2.525%19%6%0%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricD. MelipillaProvincial Ovalle
HATHAT
Clean sheets325639
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricD. MelipillaProvincial Ovalle
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricD. MelipillaProvincial Ovalle
Wins14
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-22-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricD. MelipillaProvincial Ovalle
Form56%44%
Att61%39%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h88%13%
Goals67%33%
Total65.8%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : D. Melipilla or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away3.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.88 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): D. Melipilla = 1.31 (league 1.64), Provincial Ovalle = 0.98 (league 1.19)

Provincial Ovalle
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. Melipilla 0 10.1% 9.9% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.0% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1