Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.28 (league 1.64) 1.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 20.0% 28.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
San Antonio Unido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Provincial Osorno 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.0% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProvincial OsornoSan Antonio Unido
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack42%58%
Defense58%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Provincial Osorno San Antonio Unido
HATHAT
Played991891019
Wins56%33%44%44%40%42%
Draws22%22%22%11%20%16%
Loses22%44%33%44%40%42%

Form: Provincial Osorno: WDWLLLWWWWWLLDLWDD • San Antonio Unido: WDLDLWLLWWWDLWLWLWL

League goals

Metric Provincial Osorno San Antonio Unido
HATHAT
GF total201333172138
GF avg2.21.41.81.92.12.0
GA total91625191736
GA avg1.01.81.42.11.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProvincial OsornoSan Antonio Unido
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%83%84%89%
1.561%33%63%58%
2.533%22%32%21%
3.56%0%21%11%
4.56%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProvincial OsornoSan Antonio Unido
HATHAT
Clean sheets303112
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricProvincial OsornoSan Antonio Unido
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricProvincial OsornoSan Antonio Unido
Wins53
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-01-4
Biggest losses1-33-02-52-0
Goals For5344
Goals Against3355

Model comparison

MetricProvincial OsornoSan Antonio Unido
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Provincial Osorno or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ Superbet
Draw4.50 @ 10Bet
Away6.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Provincial Osorno = 2.28 (league 1.64), San Antonio Unido = 1.75 (league 1.20)

San Antonio Unido
0 1 2 3 4 5
Provincial Osorno 0 1.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.0% 7.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1