Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Soinca Bata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.64) 0.80 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 24.9% 18.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Linares Unido
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. Melipilla 0 9.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricD. MelipillaLinares Unido
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack44%56%
Defense72%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric D. Melipilla Linares Unido
HATHAT
Played991810919
Wins78%33%56%80%33%58%
Draws11%0%6%10%44%26%
Loses11%67%39%10%22%16%

Form: D. Melipilla: LWLLWDLLLWWWWWWWWL • Linares Unido: LDWLWWDWDWDWWWWLWDW

League goals

Metric D. Melipilla Linares Unido
HATHAT
GF total201131211132
GF avg2.21.21.72.11.21.7
GA total71724101121
GA avg0.81.91.31.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineD. MelipillaLinares Unido
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%67%89%68%
1.550%44%37%32%
2.522%22%21%5%
3.56%0%11%5%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricD. MelipillaLinares Unido
HATHAT
Clean sheets426426
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricD. MelipillaLinares Unido
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricD. MelipillaLinares Unido
Wins84
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-25-12-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-12-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricD. MelipillaLinares Unido
Form55%45%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total59.7%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : D. Melipilla or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Superbet
Draw3.72 @ Pinnacle
Away4.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betfair
No1.91 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): D. Melipilla = 1.61 (league 1.64), Linares Unido = 0.80 (league 1.19)

Linares Unido
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. Melipilla 0 9.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.6% 4.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1