Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Diaguita
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.64) 0.70 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.2% 41.8% 36.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.4%
0 - 1
21.4%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
D. Puerto Montt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Provincial Ovalle 0 30.4% 21.4% 7.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.8% 10.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProvincial OvalleD. Puerto Montt
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack18%82%
Defense71%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Provincial Ovalle D. Puerto Montt
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins50%44%47%70%44%58%
Draws30%22%26%20%44%32%
Loses20%33%26%10%11%11%

Form: Provincial Ovalle: DDWWWLWLDDDWWWWLWLL • D. Puerto Montt: WDWWWLDWDWDWDLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Provincial Ovalle D. Puerto Montt
HATHAT
GF total101020281341
GF avg1.01.11.12.81.42.2
GA total68147714
GA avg0.60.90.70.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProvincial OvalleD. Puerto Montt
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%53%79%47%
1.537%21%63%16%
2.55%0%47%5%
3.50%0%16%5%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProvincial OvalleD. Puerto Montt
HATHAT
Clean sheets6395510
Failed to score347134

Penalties

MetricProvincial OvalleD. Puerto Montt
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricProvincial OvalleD. Puerto Montt
Wins43
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-14-3
Goals For2353
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricProvincial OvalleD. Puerto Montt
Form32%68%
Att18%82%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total28.6%71.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or D. Puerto Montt

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Superbet
Away2.24 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Provincial Ovalle = 0.49 (league 1.64), D. Puerto Montt = 0.70 (league 1.19)

D. Puerto Montt
0 1 2 3 4 5
Provincial Ovalle 0 30.4% 21.4% 7.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
1 14.8% 10.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 3.6% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.2% · Draw 41.8% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1