Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Tucapel Bustamante
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.66) 0.93 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 30.0% 29.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Provincial Ovalle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linares Unido 0 12.7% 11.7% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLinares UnidoProvincial Ovalle
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack62%31%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Linares Unido Provincial Ovalle
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins80%30%55%45%44%45%
Draws10%50%30%27%22%25%
Loses10%20%15%27%33%30%

Form: Linares Unido: LDWLWWDWDWDWWWWLWDWD • Provincial Ovalle: DDWWWLWLDDDWWWWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Linares Unido Provincial Ovalle
HATHAT
GF total211132121022
GF avg2.11.11.61.11.11.1
GA total10112110818
GA avg1.01.11.10.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLinares UnidoProvincial Ovalle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%65%65%55%
1.535%30%40%25%
2.520%5%5%5%
3.510%5%0%5%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLinares UnidoProvincial Ovalle
HATHAT
Clean sheets437639
Failed to score123347

Penalties

MetricLinares UnidoProvincial Ovalle
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricLinares UnidoProvincial Ovalle
Wins44
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-02-42-0
Goals For5323
Goals Against4242

Model comparison

MetricLinares UnidoProvincial Ovalle
Form73%27%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Linares Unido or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Linares Unido = 1.14 (league 1.66), Provincial Ovalle = 0.93 (league 1.19)

Provincial Ovalle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Linares Unido 0 12.7% 11.7% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 13.4% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.2% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 29.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1