Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.64) 1.99 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 21.7% 51.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Provincial Osorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real San Joaquín 0 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.8% 9.6% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.3% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Osorno
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack32%36%
Defense56%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real San Joaquín Provincial Osorno
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%10%21%60%33%47%
Draws0%30%16%20%22%21%
Loses67%60%63%20%44%32%

Form: Real San Joaquín: DLDLWWLLLDLLLLLWLLW • Provincial Osorno: WDWLLLWWWWWLLDLWDDW

League goals

Metric Real San Joaquín Provincial Osorno
HATHAT
GF total11617221335
GF avg1.20.60.92.21.41.8
GA total152035101626
GA avg1.72.01.81.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal San JoaquínProvincial Osorno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%89%79%84%
1.526%47%63%32%
2.50%37%32%21%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Osorno
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score257134

Penalties

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Osorno
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Osorno
Wins25
Draws12
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-25-01-3
Biggest losses1-35-01-33-0
Goals For2253
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Osorno
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total34.5%65.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Provincial Osorno

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.35 @ Betano
Draw4.02 @ Pinnacle
Away1.80 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real San Joaquín = 1.31 (league 1.64), Provincial Osorno = 1.99 (league 1.19)

Provincial Osorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real San Joaquín 0 3.7% 7.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.8% 9.6% 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.3% 6.3% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.4% 2.8% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 51.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1