Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.64) 1.33 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.0% 28.4% 51.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Provincial Ovalle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real San Joaquín 0 12.9% 17.2% 11.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.2% 12.3% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack50%29%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real San Joaquín Provincial Ovalle
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins40%9%24%45%40%43%
Draws0%27%14%27%20%24%
Loses60%64%62%27%40%33%

Form: Real San Joaquín: DLDLWWLLLDLLLLLWLLWWL • Provincial Ovalle: DDWWWLWLDDDWWWWLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Real San Joaquín Provincial Ovalle
HATHAT
GF total13720121022
GF avg1.30.61.01.11.01.0
GA total16223810919
GA avg1.62.01.80.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%90%62%57%
1.529%48%38%24%
2.50%33%5%5%
3.50%5%0%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
HATHAT
Clean sheets112639
Failed to score257358

Penalties

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
Wins24
Draws13
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-35-02-42-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against3542

Model comparison

MetricReal San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h13%88%
Goals14%86%
Total39.3%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Provincial Ovalle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.65 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Superbet
Away2.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real San Joaquín = 0.71 (league 1.64), Provincial Ovalle = 1.33 (league 1.20)

Provincial Ovalle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real San Joaquín 0 12.9% 17.2% 11.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.5%
1 9.2% 12.3% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.3% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 51.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1