Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.19 (league 1.64) 0.70 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.7% 9.9% 5.0%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.1%
2 - 0
10.4%
4 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Provincial Osorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. Puerto Montt 0 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.4% 7.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.6% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricD. Puerto MonttProvincial Osorno
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack86%93%
Defense71%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric D. Puerto Montt Provincial Osorno
HATHAT
Played111122111021
Wins73%55%64%64%30%48%
Draws18%36%27%18%20%19%
Loses9%9%9%18%50%33%

Form: D. Puerto Montt: WDWWWLDWDWDWDLWWWDWWWW • Provincial Osorno: WDWLLLWWWWWLLDLWDDWLW

League goals

Metric D. Puerto Montt Provincial Osorno
HATHAT
GF total321850281442
GF avg2.91.62.32.51.42.0
GA total7916111829
GA avg0.60.80.71.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineD. Puerto MonttProvincial Osorno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%45%81%86%
1.564%18%62%33%
2.550%5%33%19%
3.523%5%10%0%
4.59%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricD. Puerto MonttProvincial Osorno
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612303
Failed to score134134

Penalties

MetricD. Puerto MonttProvincial Osorno
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricD. Puerto MonttProvincial Osorno
Wins35
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-46-11-3
Biggest losses0-14-31-33-0
Goals For5463
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricD. Puerto MonttProvincial Osorno
Form62%38%
Att48%52%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total72.8%27.2%

Advice: Double chance : D. Puerto Montt or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.83 @ Pinnacle
Away6.71 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Superbet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): D. Puerto Montt = 3.19 (league 1.64), Provincial Osorno = 0.70 (league 1.20)

Provincial Osorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. Puerto Montt 0 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.4% 7.3% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.6% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.7% · Draw 9.9% · Away win 5.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1