Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Soinca Bata
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.59) 0.34 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.6% 14.3% 4.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.9%
1 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Real San Joaquín
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. Melipilla 0 7.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.7% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 6.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricD. MelipillaReal San Joaquín
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack38%38%
Defense62%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric D. Melipilla Real San Joaquín
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins64%36%50%45%9%27%
Draws18%9%14%0%27%14%
Loses18%55%36%55%64%59%

Form: D. Melipilla: LWLLWDLLLWWWWWWWWLDDLW • Real San Joaquín: DLDLWWLLLDLLLLLWLLWWLW

League goals

Metric D. Melipilla Real San Joaquín
HATHAT
GF total20173714721
GF avg1.81.51.71.30.61.0
GA total82129162238
GA avg0.71.91.31.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineD. MelipillaReal San Joaquín
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%68%68%86%
1.550%45%27%45%
2.523%18%0%32%
3.59%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricD. MelipillaReal San Joaquín
HATHAT
Clean sheets527213
Failed to score213257

Penalties

MetricD. MelipillaReal San Joaquín
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricD. MelipillaReal San Joaquín
Wins82
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-42-11-2
Biggest losses1-23-11-35-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricD. MelipillaReal San Joaquín
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total62.3%37.7%

Advice: Double chance : D. Melipilla or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.48 @ Pinnacle
Away5.33 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): D. Melipilla = 2.26 (league 1.59), Real San Joaquín = 0.34 (league 1.22)

Real San Joaquín
0 1 2 3 4 5
D. Melipilla 0 7.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.7% 5.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 6.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.3% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.6% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 4.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1