Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.24 (league 1.59) 1.06 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.3% 6.9% 4.4%
best score tips
4 - 1
7.1%
3 - 1
6.7%
4 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Santiago City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Provincial Osorno 0 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 6.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.7% 7.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.7% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProvincial OsornoSantiago City
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack92%67%
Defense33%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Provincial Osorno Santiago City
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins64%27%45%27%18%23%
Draws18%18%18%9%27%18%
Loses18%55%36%64%55%59%

Form: Provincial Osorno: WDWLLLWWWWWLLDLWDDWLWL • Santiago City: LDDLLWWLLLLWDLLLWWLDLL

League goals

Metric Provincial Osorno Santiago City
HATHAT
GF total281442151429
GF avg2.51.31.91.41.31.3
GA total112031213051
GA avg1.01.81.41.92.72.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProvincial OsornoSantiago City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%86%64%95%
1.559%36%36%64%
2.532%18%18%36%
3.59%0%9%23%
4.59%0%5%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProvincial OsornoSantiago City
HATHAT
Clean sheets303011
Failed to score145358

Penalties

MetricProvincial OsornoSantiago City
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricProvincial OsornoSantiago City
Wins52
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-34-22-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-45-0
Goals For6345
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricProvincial OsornoSantiago City
Form64%36%
Att58%42%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total67.0%33.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Provincial Osorno and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw5.69 @ Pinnacle
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ William Hill
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Provincial Osorno = 4.24 (league 1.59), Santiago City = 1.06 (league 1.22)

Santiago City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Provincial Osorno 0 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
3 6.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.7% 7.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.7% 6.0% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 6.9% · Away win 4.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1