Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Regional de Los Andes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.59) 1.10 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.5% 29.3% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Provincial Ovalle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trasandino 0 11.3% 12.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrasandinoProvincial Ovalle
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack33%17%
Defense39%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trasandino Provincial Ovalle
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins45%33%39%42%36%39%
Draws9%0%4%33%18%26%
Loses45%67%57%25%45%35%

Form: Trasandino: WWLWLWLLLLWLDLWWLWLWLLL • Provincial Ovalle: DDWWWLWLDDDWWWWLWLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Trasandino Provincial Ovalle
HATHAT
GF total211334131023
GF avg1.91.11.51.10.91.0
GA total172441111021
GA avg1.52.01.80.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrasandinoProvincial Ovalle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%83%61%61%
1.543%57%35%22%
2.526%22%4%4%
3.59%13%0%4%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrasandinoProvincial Ovalle
HATHAT
Clean sheets224639
Failed to score268369

Penalties

MetricTrasandinoProvincial Ovalle
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricTrasandinoProvincial Ovalle
Wins24
Draws13
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-52-00-3
Biggest losses2-45-02-42-0
Goals For4523
Goals Against4542

Model comparison

MetricTrasandinoProvincial Ovalle
Form75%25%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Trasandino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betano
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Betano
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Trasandino = 1.07 (league 1.59), Provincial Ovalle = 1.10 (league 1.22)

Provincial Ovalle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trasandino 0 11.3% 12.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1