Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Municipal de Lo Barnechea
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.59) 2.33 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 19.7% 49.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 1
7.1%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
D. Melipilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santiago City 0 1.8% 4.3% 5.0% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.1% 7.1% 8.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 6.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantiago CityD. Melipilla
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack44%39%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santiago City D. Melipilla
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins27%17%22%58%36%48%
Draws9%33%22%25%9%17%
Loses64%50%57%17%55%35%

Form: Santiago City: LDDLLWWLLLLWDLLLWWLDLLD • D. Melipilla: LWLLWDLLLWWWWWWWWLDDLWD

League goals

Metric Santiago City D. Melipilla
HATHAT
GF total151732211738
GF avg1.41.41.41.81.51.7
GA total21335492130
GA avg1.92.82.30.81.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantiago CityD. Melipilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%96%87%70%
1.539%65%48%43%
2.522%39%22%17%
3.59%22%9%0%
4.54%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantiago CityD. Melipilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets011527
Failed to score358213

Penalties

MetricSantiago CityD. Melipilla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSantiago CityD. Melipilla
Wins28
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-22-34-02-4
Biggest losses1-45-01-23-1
Goals For4544
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricSantiago CityD. Melipilla
Form25%75%
Att53%47%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or D. Melipilla

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.41 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santiago City = 1.67 (league 1.59), D. Melipilla = 2.33 (league 1.22)

D. Melipilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santiago City 0 1.8% 4.3% 5.0% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
1 3.1% 7.1% 8.3% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%
2 2.6% 6.0% 6.9% 5.4% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.4% 3.3% 3.9% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 49.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1