Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 21:00 • Estadio Municipal de Salamanca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.59) 0.53 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.4% 21.4% 10.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Provincial Osorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal Salamanca 0 9.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 9.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMunicipal SalamancaProvincial Osorno
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack39%67%
Defense78%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Municipal Salamanca Provincial Osorno
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins55%42%48%58%27%43%
Draws36%8%22%25%18%22%
Loses9%50%30%17%55%35%

Form: Municipal Salamanca: LLWWLDWWLDLLDWWWWWLDWWD • Provincial Osorno: WDWLLLWWWWWLLDLWDDWLWLD

League goals

Metric Municipal Salamanca Provincial Osorno
HATHAT
GF total181432311445
GF avg1.61.21.42.61.32.0
GA total62026142034
GA avg0.51.71.11.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMunicipal SalamancaProvincial Osorno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%52%78%87%
1.548%35%61%39%
2.513%22%35%22%
3.50%4%9%0%
4.50%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMunicipal SalamancaProvincial Osorno
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311303
Failed to score235145

Penalties

MetricMunicipal SalamancaProvincial Osorno
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricMunicipal SalamancaProvincial Osorno
Wins55
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-26-11-3
Biggest losses2-34-01-33-0
Goals For3363
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricMunicipal SalamancaProvincial Osorno
Form53%47%
Att37%63%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total58.8%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Provincial Osorno

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ 10Bet
No2.25 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Municipal Salamanca = 1.81 (league 1.59), Provincial Osorno = 0.53 (league 1.22)

Provincial Osorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Municipal Salamanca 0 9.6% 5.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 9.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 10.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1