Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 00:30 •
Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.14)
0.76 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 29.5% | 22.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Cuiaba | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferroviária | 0 | 13.4% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ferroviária | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 36% |
| Defense | 86% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ferroviária | Cuiaba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 36% | 25% | 30% | 64% | 17% | 39% |
| Draws | 45% | 33% | 39% | 18% | 33% | 26% |
| Loses | 18% | 42% | 30% | 18% | 50% | 35% |
Form: Ferroviária: DDWDLWDDLDWLWLLLLDDWWWD • Cuiaba: WDWDWDLLWWWLLLDWLWLWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Ferroviária | Cuiaba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ferroviária | Cuiaba | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 70% | 74% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 4% | 9% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ferroviária | Cuiaba | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ferroviária | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ferroviária | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ferroviária | Cuiaba |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ferroviária or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ferroviária = 1.25 (league 1.14), Cuiaba = 0.76 (league 0.83)
| Cuiaba | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ferroviária | 0 | 13.4% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 12.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 29.5% · Away win 22.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1