Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 00:30 • Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.15) 0.79 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.2% 29.3% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Ferroviária
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coritiba 0 13.0% 10.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoritibaFerroviária
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack24%53%
Defense82%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coritiba Ferroviária
HATHAT
Played111324121224
Wins55%46%50%33%25%29%
Draws36%23%29%50%33%42%
Loses9%31%21%17%42%29%

Form: Coritiba: WWDLWLLWWWDDWWWWLDDWDWDL • Ferroviária: DDWDLWDDLDWLWLLLLDDWWWDD

League goals

Metric Coritiba Ferroviária
HATHAT
GF total131124141327
GF avg1.20.81.01.21.11.1
GA total7916121426
GA avg0.60.70.71.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoritibaFerroviária
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%46%75%71%
1.533%8%33%33%
2.50%4%4%4%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoritibaFerroviária
HATHAT
Clean sheets8513437
Failed to score358246

Penalties

MetricCoritibaFerroviária
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricCoritibaFerroviária
Wins43
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses2-52-11-32-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against5232

Model comparison

MetricCoritibaFerroviária
Form42%58%
Att31%69%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ferroviária and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 188Bet
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away7.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coritiba = 1.25 (league 1.15), Ferroviária = 0.79 (league 0.84)

Ferroviária
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coritiba 0 13.0% 10.2% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.3% 12.8% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.2% 8.0% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 23.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1