Serie B — Brazil
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio da Serrinha
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.14) 0.87 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 24.1% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Paysandu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Goias 0 7.9% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 11.4% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGoiasPaysandu
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack31%15%
Defense46%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Goias Paysandu
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins62%38%50%15%15%15%
Draws23%23%23%38%38%38%
Loses15%38%27%46%46%46%

Form: Goias: WWDLWWWDWWWLLWDWWLDDWLWLLD • Paysandu: LLLDDLDDLLLWWWDDWDDDLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Goias Paysandu
HATHAT
GF total211132101121
GF avg1.60.81.20.80.80.8
GA total121325151631
GA avg0.91.01.01.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGoiasPaysandu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%65%54%77%
1.542%27%15%38%
2.54%4%4%4%
3.50%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGoiasPaysandu
HATHAT
Clean sheets549336
Failed to score0665712

Penalties

MetricGoiasPaysandu
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGoiasPaysandu
Wins33
Draws23
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-12-5
Biggest losses2-32-00-23-1
Goals For3225
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricGoiasPaysandu
Form80%20%
Att67%33%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Goias or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away5.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Goias = 1.68 (league 1.14), Paysandu = 0.87 (league 0.83)

Paysandu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Goias 0 7.9% 6.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.2% 11.4% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.6% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 19.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1