Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio da Ressacada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.14) 0.72 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.8% 22.0% 14.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Ferroviária
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avai 0 7.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 10.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvaiFerroviária
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack27%40%
Defense53%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avai Ferroviária
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%15%35%31%23%27%
Draws31%38%35%46%31%38%
Loses15%46%31%23%46%35%

Form: Avai: DDWWWLDDWLWDLWDLDLWDWDLLWL • Ferroviária: DDWDLWDDLDWLWLLLLDDWWWDDLL

League goals

Metric Avai Ferroviária
HATHAT
GF total201333151328
GF avg1.51.01.31.21.01.1
GA total82028141832
GA avg0.61.51.11.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvaiFerroviária
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%65%73%73%
1.531%35%31%38%
2.58%4%4%8%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvaiFerroviária
HATHAT
Clean sheets729437
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricAvaiFerroviária
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricAvaiFerroviária
Wins33
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-22-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-01-34-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricAvaiFerroviária
Form44%56%
Att40%60%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ferroviária

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away5.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avai = 1.84 (league 1.14), Ferroviária = 0.72 (league 0.83)

Ferroviária
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avai 0 7.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 10.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.4% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.8% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 14.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1