Serie B — Brazil
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 00:30 • Estadio Serra Dourada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.14) 0.84 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 22.2% 16.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
America Mineiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Goianiense 0 6.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.5% 10.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack50%25%
Defense75%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Goianiense America Mineiro
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins50%15%33%43%15%30%
Draws29%54%41%29%15%22%
Loses21%31%26%29%69%48%

Form: Atletico Goianiense: WDLDDWDDLLWDWLWDLLDDWLDWDWW • America Mineiro: WLWWLLDLWLLWDWLLLLDLLDLWDDW

League goals

Metric Atletico Goianiense America Mineiro
HATHAT
GF total191130171027
GF avg1.40.81.11.20.81.0
GA total121628132033
GA avg0.91.21.00.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%67%63%78%
1.530%30%30%33%
2.54%7%7%11%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
HATHAT
Clean sheets639426
Failed to score3473710

Penalties

MetricAtletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricAtletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
Wins12
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-13-10-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-23-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricAtletico GoianienseAmerica Mineiro
Form58%42%
Att67%33%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h25%75%
Goals38%63%
Total48.3%51.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or America Mineiro and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Marathonbet
Away4.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Goianiense = 1.85 (league 1.14), America Mineiro = 0.84 (league 0.85)

America Mineiro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Goianiense 0 6.8% 5.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.5% 10.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 6.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 16.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1