Serie B — Brazil
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 00:35 • Arena Condá
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.14) 1.56 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.6% 17.1% 19.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Avai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chapecoense-sc 0 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.7% 5.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChapecoense-scAvai
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack67%50%
Defense33%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chapecoense-sc Avai
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%29%44%50%15%33%
Draws15%21%19%36%38%37%
Loses23%50%37%14%46%30%

Form: Chapecoense-sc: LLWWLWDWLWLWLLWDWWDWDWWDLLL • Avai: DDWWWLDDWLWDLWDLDLWDWDLLWLD

League goals

Metric Chapecoense-sc Avai
HATHAT
GF total271138221335
GF avg2.10.81.41.61.01.3
GA total171128102030
GA avg1.30.81.00.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChapecoense-scAvai
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%81%67%
1.544%30%33%37%
2.515%4%7%4%
3.511%0%4%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChapecoense-scAvai
HATHAT
Clean sheets358729
Failed to score088235

Penalties

MetricChapecoense-scAvai
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricChapecoense-scAvai
Wins23
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-45-00-2
Biggest losses2-32-01-24-0
Goals For4452
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricChapecoense-scAvai
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Chapecoense-sc or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chapecoense-sc = 2.75 (league 1.14), Avai = 1.56 (league 0.83)

Avai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chapecoense-sc 0 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.7% 5.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.1% 7.9% 6.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.6% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.2% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 19.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1