Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 00:35 • Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.14) 1.04 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 30.0% 34.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.0%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Goias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferroviária 0 12.4% 12.8% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerroviáriaGoias
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack83%83%
Defense0%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferroviária Goias
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%21%26%64%38%52%
Draws46%36%41%21%23%22%
Loses23%43%33%14%38%26%

Form: Ferroviária: DDWDLWDDLDWLWLLLLDDWWWDDLLD • Goias: WWDLWWWDWWWLLWDWWLDDWLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Ferroviária Goias
HATHAT
GF total151530221133
GF avg1.21.11.11.60.81.2
GA total142034121325
GA avg1.11.41.30.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerroviáriaGoias
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%78%63%
1.533%41%41%26%
2.54%7%4%4%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerroviáriaGoias
HATHAT
Clean sheets4376410
Failed to score257066

Penalties

MetricFerroviáriaGoias
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricFerroviáriaGoias
Wins33
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-11-2
Biggest losses1-34-02-32-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricFerroviáriaGoias
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Goias

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Betano
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away2.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ferroviária = 1.05 (league 1.14), Goias = 1.04 (league 0.85)

Goias
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferroviária 0 12.4% 12.8% 6.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.9% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 34.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1