Serie B — Brazil
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Heriberto Hülse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.14) 0.77 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.3% 24.0% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Paysandu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Criciuma 0 8.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 11.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCriciumaPaysandu
Played55
Form87%7%
Attack75%13%
Defense100%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 06 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Criciuma Paysandu
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins64%36%50%14%14%14%
Draws14%36%25%36%36%36%
Loses21%29%25%50%50%50%

Form: Criciuma: LLWDDLDLLWWWDLDWWWWLWDWWWDWW • Paysandu: LLLDDLDDLLLWWWDDWDDDLLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Criciuma Paysandu
HATHAT
GF total231336101121
GF avg1.60.91.30.70.80.8
GA total111021161733
GA avg0.80.70.81.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCriciumaPaysandu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%54%50%79%
1.529%21%14%36%
2.511%0%4%4%
3.57%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCriciumaPaysandu
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613336
Failed to score2356814

Penalties

MetricCriciumaPaysandu
Scored (total | %)2 | 40.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)3 | 60.00%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricCriciumaPaysandu
Wins43
Draws23
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-12-5
Biggest losses1-22-10-23-1
Goals For4225
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricCriciumaPaysandu
Form93%7%
Att86%14%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h85%15%
Goals78%22%
Total82.2%17.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Criciuma or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ 188Bet
Away7.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.65 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Criciuma = 1.68 (league 1.14), Paysandu = 0.77 (league 0.83)

Paysandu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Criciuma 0 8.7% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.5% 11.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.3% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 16.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1