Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 21:30 • Arena NicNet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.15) 1.44 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 26.3% 44.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Ferroviária
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo SP 0 7.9% 11.4% 8.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 4.8% 6.9% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBotafogo SPFerroviária
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack88%75%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Botafogo SP Ferroviária
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins29%21%25%29%21%25%
Draws43%14%29%50%36%43%
Loses29%64%46%21%43%32%

Form: Botafogo SP: LDDLLWLLWDDLWWDDLLLWLDWWLLDL • Ferroviária: DDWDLWDDLDWLWLLLLDDWWWDDLLDD

League goals

Metric Botafogo SP Ferroviária
HATHAT
GF total121224161531
GF avg0.90.90.91.11.11.1
GA total152742152035
GA avg1.11.91.51.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBotafogo SPFerroviária
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%79%75%75%
1.525%43%32%39%
2.57%21%4%7%
3.54%4%0%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBotafogo SPFerroviária
HATHAT
Clean sheets516437
Failed to score6814257

Penalties

MetricBotafogo SPFerroviária
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricBotafogo SPFerroviária
Wins23
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-01-3
Biggest losses0-35-01-34-0
Goals For2423
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricBotafogo SPFerroviária
Form57%43%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h38%62%
Goals31%69%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ferroviária

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Botafogo SP = 1.10 (league 1.15), Ferroviária = 1.44 (league 0.84)

Ferroviária
0 1 2 3 4 5
Botafogo SP 0 7.9% 11.4% 8.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
2 4.8% 6.9% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 44.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1