Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 00:30 • Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.15) 0.64 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.5% 19.8% 11.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
14.2%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Botafogo SP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coritiba 0 7.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.3% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoritibaBotafogo SP
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack67%56%
Defense67%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coritiba Botafogo SP
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins50%47%48%27%21%24%
Draws36%20%28%40%14%28%
Loses14%33%24%33%64%48%

Form: Coritiba: WWDLWLLWWWDDWWWWLDDWDWDLWDLLW • Botafogo SP: LDDLLWLLWDDLWWDDLLLWLDWWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Coritiba Botafogo SP
HATHAT
GF total171330131225
GF avg1.20.91.00.90.90.9
GA total91019172744
GA avg0.60.70.71.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoritibaBotafogo SP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%45%52%79%
1.534%10%24%45%
2.53%3%7%21%
3.53%3%3%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoritibaBotafogo SP
HATHAT
Clean sheets10616516
Failed to score56116814

Penalties

MetricCoritibaBotafogo SP
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricCoritibaBotafogo SP
Wins42
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses2-52-10-35-0
Goals For4224
Goals Against5235

Model comparison

MetricCoritibaBotafogo SP
Form88%13%
Att55%45%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total64.8%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : Coritiba or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 10Bet
Draw4.50 @ Betfair
Away10.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coritiba = 1.99 (league 1.15), Botafogo SP = 0.64 (league 0.84)

Botafogo SP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coritiba 0 7.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.3% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 9.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.5% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 11.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1