Serie B — Brazil
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 19:00 • Arena Condá
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.14) 0.94 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 24.4% 21.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Novorizontino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chapecoense-sc 0 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChapecoense-scNovorizontino
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack50%60%
Defense20%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chapecoense-sc Novorizontino
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins57%33%45%53%29%41%
Draws14%20%17%40%36%38%
Loses29%47%38%7%36%21%

Form: Chapecoense-sc: LLWWLWDWLWLWLLWDWWDWDWWDLLLLW • Novorizontino: DWDDWLDWWWWWLDDWDWLDDLLLDWWWD

League goals

Metric Chapecoense-sc Novorizontino
HATHAT
GF total27144123932
GF avg1.90.91.41.50.61.1
GA total181230121426
GA avg1.30.81.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChapecoense-scNovorizontino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%72%76%62%
1.545%28%24%21%
2.517%3%10%3%
3.510%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChapecoense-scNovorizontino
HATHAT
Clean sheets3585611
Failed to score189077

Penalties

MetricChapecoense-scNovorizontino
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricChapecoense-scNovorizontino
Wins25
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-00-2
Biggest losses2-32-01-24-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against3224

Model comparison

MetricChapecoense-scNovorizontino
Form21%79%
Att45%55%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Novorizontino

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.66 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chapecoense-sc = 1.66 (league 1.14), Novorizontino = 0.94 (league 0.83)

Novorizontino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chapecoense-sc 0 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 11.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.3% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1