Serie B — Brazil
Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 00:30 • Ligga Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.14) 0.97 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 27.6% 27.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Avai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Paranaense 0 9.8% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.9% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAvai
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack58%50%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Paranaense Avai
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%44%45%50%20%35%
Draws27%13%19%31%33%32%
Loses27%44%35%19%47%32%

Form: Atletico Paranaense: WWLWLLDLWDLWWLWLLDDDLDWWWWWWWLL • Avai: DDWWWLDDWLWDLWDLDLWDWDLLWLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Atletico Paranaense Avai
HATHAT
GF total172744251439
GF avg1.11.71.41.60.91.3
GA total142741122133
GA avg0.91.71.30.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico ParanaenseAvai
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%77%77%65%
1.545%35%32%35%
2.510%13%10%3%
3.50%6%3%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAvai
HATHAT
Clean sheets4378311
Failed to score314347

Penalties

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAvai
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAvai
Wins73
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-35-00-2
Biggest losses1-43-00-24-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAvai
Form56%44%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away6.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Paranaense = 1.35 (league 1.14), Avai = 0.97 (league 0.83)

Avai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Paranaense 0 9.8% 9.6% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.2% 12.9% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 27.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1