Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.82 (league 1.15) 0.86 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 22.6% 17.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Amazonas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vila Nova 0 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.5% 10.7% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVila NovaAmazonas
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack45%64%
Defense36%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vila Nova Amazonas
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%19%32%38%7%23%
Draws33%31%32%38%27%32%
Loses20%50%35%25%67%45%

Form: Vila Nova: LWDWWWLWLLLLLWWDDWLLWWLDDDLDDDD • Amazonas: LDLLDLDDWLWLWDLLWDDDLDWLLLWLLDW

League goals

Metric Vila Nova Amazonas
HATHAT
GF total171431201333
GF avg1.10.91.01.30.91.1
GA total122133182947
GA avg0.81.31.11.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVila NovaAmazonas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%74%84%
1.526%32%29%45%
2.53%3%3%19%
3.50%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVila NovaAmazonas
HATHAT
Clean sheets729505
Failed to score369358

Penalties

MetricVila NovaAmazonas
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricVila NovaAmazonas
Wins31
Draws33
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-34-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against3234

Model comparison

MetricVila NovaAmazonas
Form36%64%
Att42%58%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h67%33%
Goals57%43%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Vila Nova or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.45 @ Betano
Away5.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vila Nova = 1.82 (league 1.15), Amazonas = 0.86 (league 0.84)

Amazonas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vila Nova 0 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.5% 10.7% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 17.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1